UConn's Battle For Hosting Hockey East First Round | Page 2 | The Boneyard

UConn's Battle For Hosting Hockey East First Round

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chnews11:16am via CHN Blog
New post: Projecting the Final Hockey East Standings Using KRACH
http://blog.collegehockeynews.com/2016/02/projecting-the-final-hockey-east-standings-using-krach/

That KRACH system is KROCH a . JK... I'm not buying only 3 Pts and we play 6 more games. Uconn can get more than 1 win and a tie in the last 6. I know we have a bunch a people hurt. Anyone coming back b4 playoffs? Or are they all done for season? Hurts not having Ronan and others. Especially IF we have to play on Olympic ice. I think we can squeeze an 8th spot.

If we do make 1st round @ home...
Wolfpack play Sunday March 6th @ 1pm. So we might have sloppy seconds that day? I HATE the Wolfpack. They need to go. Another waste of 1.4 million. Malloy, you can start with the Wolfpack.
 
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Here's the updated standings and remaining HE games.

30 pts ND: 2A v PC, 2H v BU
29 BC: 2A v UVm, H/A v UML
27 PC: 2H v ND, H/A v UMass
26 UML: H/A v BC
23 BU: H/A v UNH, 2A v ND
16 pts Northeastern: H/A v UConn, 2H v Maine
15 pts Vermont: 2H v BC, 2A v Merrimack,
13 pts UNH: H/A v BU, H/A v UConn
12 pts UConn: H/A v NE, H/A v UNH,
11 pts Merrimack: 2A v Maine, 2H v Vermont,
10 pts Maine: 2H v Merrimack, 2A v NE,
8 pts UMass: H/A v PC
 
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Reasonable expectations next weekend - hope we get 2 points, hope BU plays UNH tough and UNH gets one point...we end up tied going into the final weekend home and home against UNH....

Of course merrimack is right on our heels and playing Maine, so who knows.
 
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CbRmqJ-WAAEyzpk.jpg


UConn wins the tiebreakers with Maine and currently with Merrimack (conference wins).

Loses tiebreaker to Vermont and UMass.
 
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UConn's current playoff seeding odds:

6th: 4%
7th: 8%
8th: 22%
9th: 21%
10th: 37%
11th: 7%
12th: <1%

This is an interesting site: http://www.playoffstatus.com/hockeyeast/hockeyeaststandings.html
Important to remember with this site that it does not account for the probability of games being won, only taking into account the number of permutations of results leading to each finish. Basically, those numbers aren't weighted, but it does give a good view of where things stand.
 
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Merrimack scored two extra attacker goals but Maine wins in OT.

UConn now tied with Maine. UConn wins the tiebreaker.

6. Northeastern (20 pts)
7. Vermont (15) @ Merrimack next weekend
8. New Hampshire (14) home and home vs UConn
9. Merrimack (13) home vs Vermont
10. UConn (12) home and home vs UNH
11. Maine (12) @ Northeastern
12. UMass (8) home and home vs Providence

Its amazing and frustrating at the same time, UConn still has an outside chance at the eight seed on the final weekend after only winning one Hockey East game since the first weekend of December.

Best scenario would be UConn playing Merrimack, home or away. Definitely a winnable first round series.
 
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Just trying to think this out, if UConn gets 3 out of 4 points next weekend, that puts them at 15, tied with UNH although we would have the tiebreaker (head-to-head).
If Merrimack gets 2 out of 4 they finish with 15. Again, UConn wins tiebreak as even though both games against Merrimack were a tie, the next tiebreak is conference wins, which UConn will win.
Maine has no shot against a red-hot NE team, so no worries.

Bottom line, find a way to get 3 out of 4 somehow, someway starting with a win on Friday night.

FRIDAY NIGHTS GAME WILL BE HUUUUUUUGEE. Don't lay a freakin egg like you did this past Fri.
 
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MikeMcMahonCHN 2:17pm via TweetDeck
Using the KRACH one more time as a predictor in HEA, final standings projected to have BC on top, BU in last bye:
krach.png


MikeMcMahonCHN 2:18pm via TweetDeck
If that projection turns out to be correct: Lowell vs. UMass; Northeastern vs. Maine; Vermont vs. Connecticut; Merrimack vs. New Hampshire.

MikeMcMahonCHN 2:20pm via TweetDeck
KRACH believes BC takes 3 of 4 with Lowell, ND splits with BU, PC sweeps UMass, NU takes 3 from Maine, MC and UVM split.

MikeMcMahonCHN 2:20pm via TweetDeck
Oh, and KRACH believes UNH will take 3 from UConn.
 
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Should be interesting weekend with UCONN's former Associate Head Coach behind UNH's bench as an Asst. Coach.
 
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Should be interesting weekend with UCONN's former Associate Head Coach behind UNH's bench as an Asst. Coach.
The more interesting part of this weekend will be watching UConn skate on the bigger ice surface at UNH.
 
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7. Vermont: 15 points
Merrimack: 15

9. UConn: 14
UNH: 14

UConn will win tiebreakers with UNH and Merrimack. Lose tiebreaker with Vermont.
 
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So if we lose tonight we are out and if we win tonight we are in? If we tie and UVM and Merrimack also tie we are out. If we tie and Merrimack wins we are out but if we tie and UVM wins we are in?
 
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So if we lose tonight we are out and if we win tonight we are in? If we tie and UVM and Merrimack also tie we are out. If we tie and Merrimack wins we are out but if we tie and UVM wins we are in?
It is in reference to hosting a first round HE playoff series or being on the road.
 
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Is there a stream for tonight's game? Don't get FOX College Sports on Fios w/o ordering the channel.
 
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Pull the goalie. Go for the win. I'd rather play Merrimack or UVM than UNH
 
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