CTMike
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
- Joined
- Aug 26, 2011
- Messages
- 11,415
- Reaction Score
- 40,749
Last year, NCAA stats had us at +10, or +.77 per game. This year it looks like we are at -4 through 4, for -1 per game. (Source : quick Google, didn't double check)
+10 can mask a lot of flaws.
-4 leaves you awfully exposed.
I think a case can be made that our offensive improvement has been nil and the biggest difference in outcome this year is based on turnover differential.
Related : relying on turnover differential as a strategy to win is folly. These things tend to regress to the mean and have a high degree of randomness. I would hope that a game plan is devised such that, even if you cough the ball up, you should be able to win. Plan for the worst, hope for the best, leave yourself some leeway if things go wrong. I feel like this is exactly what is biting us in the rear right now - Bob needs perfect execution just to keep the game close, we leave no margin for error.
+10 can mask a lot of flaws.
-4 leaves you awfully exposed.
I think a case can be made that our offensive improvement has been nil and the biggest difference in outcome this year is based on turnover differential.
Related : relying on turnover differential as a strategy to win is folly. These things tend to regress to the mean and have a high degree of randomness. I would hope that a game plan is devised such that, even if you cough the ball up, you should be able to win. Plan for the worst, hope for the best, leave yourself some leeway if things go wrong. I feel like this is exactly what is biting us in the rear right now - Bob needs perfect execution just to keep the game close, we leave no margin for error.