What I don't think helped that scene was the guy giving the speech. He's one of Ezekiel's top guys and he can take a few punches, but we don't know much beyond that. It made his "It's gonna be your fault" claim sound kind of hollow. I guess that was the point of him breaking down in his secret trailer of supplies: He was upset with himself over whatever he was hoarding and why. Still, Carol and Morgan are only two people and they haven't been in touch with Alexandria since before the encounter with Negan. Why the guilt trip on them? Regarding Negan's scratch, I thought was going to be the undoing of Spencer. He would point that out, then realize he should have kept his mouth shut. Negan could start with "We're playing a friendly game and you want to jump in with your rules..." then go into his speech that ends with him killing Spencer.